The prediction seems to less optimistic. «Until 2035, there is almost no poor
countries in the world», forward Bill Gates on the occasion of the publication,
on 21 January, the annual letter of his charitable foundation. Among the 36
poorest countries in the world * - those whose per capita GDP is less than $
1,035/year - almost all will become "" what today is called lower middle-income
countries, if not better ", understands the co-founder of Microsoft." Bill
Gates
This breath of enthusiasm, Bill Gates explained by the fact that the poorest
nations will, according to him, continue their development in relying on
economic models of the most productive neighbors. New vaccines, better quality
seeds, digital revolution or even labor supported by a better education... So
many levers that will help people to escape poverty and attract new investments.
"My birth [in 1955, Editor's note], most countries of the world were poor."
During the next twenty years, desperately poor countries will become the
exception rather than the rule. Billions of people will have eradicated poverty.
"For me, the idea that I will live to attend this is all simply amazing", he
says.
Billionaire (again first American fortune in 2013), provides, however, that "few countries" will remain "trolling". Subject: "war, politics (such as the North Korea, unless radical change) or their geographical conditions (such as landlocked in Central Africa)." Representing 70% of the 36 poorest countries *, Africa is far from being drawn from case but Bill Gates believes that all countries in Asia, Central America (except Haiti, possibly) and South of today middle-income countries have joined. "Almost 90% of countries have higher incomes than those in the India of today. This will be a remarkable achievement", he adds.
Projections already views since the 1940s
Contacted by FRANCE 24, Javier Herrera, researcher-Economist at the Institut de recherche pour le développement (IRD), shows a little more pessimistic on the issue. "This is not the first time announce such predictions. At the end of the 1940s, already, American experts projected the end of poverty through the advent of new technologies. More recently, ten years ago, a renowned economist, Jeffrey Sachs, held a similar speech in a book entitled 'The end of poverty'. But it still exists... ", describes it.
The expert from the IRD, the poverty reduction witnessed by Bill Gates "is explained by the performance of China" has, in fact, boosting the figures. Another weak point in the speech of American billionaire: "at no time Bill Gates teams seem wonder about the sustainability of poverty reduction. They assume that very strong growth in these countries will continue but, nothing from the environmental point of life, natural resources of certain countries are doomed to run out. And no one is immune from a climate shock [tsunami, drought, earthquake, etc.] Editor's note] ", adds Javier Herrera."
Opposite, for the former CEO of Microsoft, one of the solutions to maintain and encourage the growth is to change attitudes. "It would be fair to say that the world has changed so much that the terms 'developing' and 'developed country' have more raison d'etre", defends. That refutes, for his part, Javier Herrera, for whom a simple change of vocabulary will not lead to advance the situation. "One should start with harden the criteria which define the threshold of poverty in the world, today of $ 1.25 per day." I don't know a single 'rich' countries that live with that amount,"he said. For the researcher, a system where the poverty line would be "relative" (that is, it adapts to the incomes of households, as in France) would be much fairer than the current method that determines the threshold from an "absolute value" applicable to all poor countries, without distinction.
"Poor countries are not condemned to remain.
But it will take more to alter the motivation of Bill and Melinda Gates. Fundamentally convinced that "poor countries are not condemned to remain poor", they also appeal to the generosity of donors and the States. "For Norway, the most generous country in the world, the amount [of aid, Editor's note] is less than 3%. It is less than 1% in the case of the United States", calculates to encourage the leaders to invest more because"it remains more than a billion people living in conditions of extreme poverty."
Themselves have decided, for some time already, pay 95% of their personal wealth to charity and intend to lead by example. "We all have the opportunity to create a world where poverty is the exception rather than the rule, where the children all have the same chance to thrive, wherever they were born. "For those of us who believe in the value of every human life, no work in progress is more inspiring in the world today ' hui", they conclude in the letter of their Foundation.
Source: F24
View the original article here
Billionaire (again first American fortune in 2013), provides, however, that "few countries" will remain "trolling". Subject: "war, politics (such as the North Korea, unless radical change) or their geographical conditions (such as landlocked in Central Africa)." Representing 70% of the 36 poorest countries *, Africa is far from being drawn from case but Bill Gates believes that all countries in Asia, Central America (except Haiti, possibly) and South of today middle-income countries have joined. "Almost 90% of countries have higher incomes than those in the India of today. This will be a remarkable achievement", he adds.
Projections already views since the 1940s
Contacted by FRANCE 24, Javier Herrera, researcher-Economist at the Institut de recherche pour le développement (IRD), shows a little more pessimistic on the issue. "This is not the first time announce such predictions. At the end of the 1940s, already, American experts projected the end of poverty through the advent of new technologies. More recently, ten years ago, a renowned economist, Jeffrey Sachs, held a similar speech in a book entitled 'The end of poverty'. But it still exists... ", describes it.
The expert from the IRD, the poverty reduction witnessed by Bill Gates "is explained by the performance of China" has, in fact, boosting the figures. Another weak point in the speech of American billionaire: "at no time Bill Gates teams seem wonder about the sustainability of poverty reduction. They assume that very strong growth in these countries will continue but, nothing from the environmental point of life, natural resources of certain countries are doomed to run out. And no one is immune from a climate shock [tsunami, drought, earthquake, etc.] Editor's note] ", adds Javier Herrera."
Opposite, for the former CEO of Microsoft, one of the solutions to maintain and encourage the growth is to change attitudes. "It would be fair to say that the world has changed so much that the terms 'developing' and 'developed country' have more raison d'etre", defends. That refutes, for his part, Javier Herrera, for whom a simple change of vocabulary will not lead to advance the situation. "One should start with harden the criteria which define the threshold of poverty in the world, today of $ 1.25 per day." I don't know a single 'rich' countries that live with that amount,"he said. For the researcher, a system where the poverty line would be "relative" (that is, it adapts to the incomes of households, as in France) would be much fairer than the current method that determines the threshold from an "absolute value" applicable to all poor countries, without distinction.
"Poor countries are not condemned to remain.
But it will take more to alter the motivation of Bill and Melinda Gates. Fundamentally convinced that "poor countries are not condemned to remain poor", they also appeal to the generosity of donors and the States. "For Norway, the most generous country in the world, the amount [of aid, Editor's note] is less than 3%. It is less than 1% in the case of the United States", calculates to encourage the leaders to invest more because"it remains more than a billion people living in conditions of extreme poverty."
Themselves have decided, for some time already, pay 95% of their personal wealth to charity and intend to lead by example. "We all have the opportunity to create a world where poverty is the exception rather than the rule, where the children all have the same chance to thrive, wherever they were born. "For those of us who believe in the value of every human life, no work in progress is more inspiring in the world today ' hui", they conclude in the letter of their Foundation.
Source: F24
View the original article here